Opta supercomputer predicts final Championship table and Leeds United promotion chance v Leicester City, Ipswich Town and Southampton

Daniel Farke’s side fell to their first home league defeat of the season in Saturday lunchtime’s Championship hosting of Blackburn Rovers in which the Whites blew the chance to move back into the top two. Defeat for Leicester City at Friday night’s hosts Plymouth Argyle opened the door for Leeds for whom even a point would have taken them back into the division’s automatic promotion places, albeit having played one game more than the Foxes.

As it happened, victory would have put United’s top two destiny back in their own hands by virtue of Ipswich Town only managing a 1-1 draw in Saturday’s 3pm kick-off at home to Middlesbrough. Third-placed Leeds are consequently one point behind second-placed Leicester and two points behind new leaders Ipswich who, like Leeds, also have just three games left. Fourth-placed Southampton also remain in the mix, Saturday’s last-gasp 3-2 win at home to Watford leaving them six points behind Leeds but with two games in hand and a trip to Elland Road on the final day of the season.

With West Brom now too far behind, automatic promotion is now mathematically a four-horse race. Based on ‘probability, here is how the supercomputer at Opta is now predicting the final table to look and United’s ‘chance’ of finishing in the top two compared to their rivals.